Pakistan's economy has
experienced a tumultuous journey since its inception, shaped by wars, frequent
regime changes, terrorism, disruption in democratic continuity, and political
instability. Despite this, Pakistan sped up its economic growth from 3 percent
to 4 percent in the early years and continued to increase it year on year,
poised to become an Asian Tiger in the 1960s. However, the wars with India not
only cost us billions of dollars but also diverted our resources from
development. In the war against terror, Pakistan incurred losses amounting to
$2.6 billion in 2001-02 while the numbers kept on soaring to $13.5 billion in
2009-10. The recently concluded violent protests and long marches not only
caused indirect economic losses of Rs 192 billion per day but also multiplied
divides and hate speech. Over decades, inconsistent policies have left
Pakistan's economy vulnerable, with growth rates fluctuating dramatically-from
a high of 6.8% in the 1960s to just -0.94% in 2019-20, following political
unrest and the COVID-19 pandemic.
Our efforts to make Pakistan
prosperous again began in 1997 with Vision 2010. However, the lack of policy
continuity and political turbulence made it a long-lost goal. The desire to achieve
sustainable socio-economic indicators was reinvigorated in 2013 with Vision
2025.
Amidst the war on terror, PMLN
launched a National Action Plan to combat terrorism and stepped ahead to
participate in CPEC in 2013 as a practical manifestation of the geo-economic
narrative for reviving the war-torn economy. But once again the regime change
regressed the efforts to square one.
Pakistan is at a critical
juncture where the economic landscape is fraught with immense difficulties.
Today, we are fighting with strained foreign relations, dwindling foreign
exchange reserves, mounting debt, poor export performance, energy crisis, youth
bulge, and social disparities besides political dissent. All-time high
inflation has eroded the purchasing power. This is hindering economic
development, exacerbating poverty, and weakening national security. The
inflation rate in 2013 was7.5%, while we concluded our tenure in 2018 with an
inflation rate of 4.8%. However, upon resuming office in 2022, we confronted a
sharp increase in inflation from a single digit to 28.2%. We inherited a
country on the brink of default in April 2022, facing widespread economic
uncertainty. Our first step after resuming office was to address the economic
challenges and explore the pathways for sustainable growth after revoking the
prevalent trend of populist politics. The Turnaround Pakistan Summit in 2022
aimed at identifying these key challenges and formulating the 5Es Framework
(Exports, E-Pakistan, Environment, Energy & Infrastructure, and Equity, Ethics
& Empowerment) for inclusive and sustainable national prosperity.
Recognizing the gravity of the situation, we have spent two years preparing the
launch pad for Pakistan's take-off. As a last resort to uplift Pakistan's
economy, we have launched URAAN Pakistan, by the people, of the people, for the
people of Pakistan.
Today, Pakistan is at a decisive
crossroads, facing two distinct paths either to maintain the current trajectory
and reach $1 trillion by 2047 or adopt a transformational strategy achieving a
$1 trillion economy by 2035 anda $3 trillion economy by 2047with a robust,
transformative approach based on the 5Es framework, growing at a CAGR of 9.8%.
The overarching goal of the National Economic Transformation Plan (2024-2035)
is to make Pakistan a trillion-dollar economy by 2035.With resilience,
potential, opportunities, and resources, Pakistan is now ready to speed up its
wings and fly high to become the next Asian Tiger by shifting towards an
export-led growth economy.
Being at an inflection point,
this 13th Five-Year Plan 2024-2029 will serve as a lifeline for Pakistan's
economy. It is a turning point for the nation's economic trajectory. The GDP
growth is projected to rise to 6 percent by 2028-29, up from 2.5 percent in
2023-24. Meanwhile, the inflation rate is expected to decrease to 6.2 percent
from 23.4 percent. The public debt is anticipated to drop by 60 percent by
2028-29, down from the current 67 percent. Additionally, food security is
forecasted to improve, with its rate expected to decrease to 8 percent from 16
percent.
Uraan Pakistan is about doubling
the national productivity of Pakistan with a transformation towards an
export-led turnaround achieving $60 billion in yearly exports. The focus on
export development strategies synchronized with industrial development will
secure Pakistan's space in the global market boosting its national brand and
international competitiveness. The upcoming GSP Scheme 2024-34 will facilitate
the export of Pakistani goods to the European Union. Skilled and semi-skilled
human resources will find employment opportunities in GCC countries through the
Free Trade Agreement with the Gulf Cooperation Council.
Uraan Pakistan is a strategic
roadmap to transform Pakistan into a techno-economy by increasing the ICT freelancing
industry to USD 5 billion, driven by technological excellence and innovation.
The Framework aligns with SDGs with a special focus on climate adaptation and
mitigation measures ensuring food security and productivity by cultivating 20.3
million acres of land. The energy sector will undergo some sustainable reforms
to empower the indigenous industries by increasing the share of renewable power
to over 10%. The inclusivity of public-private partnerships and equitable
development reducing economic disparities is at the heart of Uraan Pakistan.
The government has enabled citizen's entry into the decision-making process
through the Champions of Reforms (COR) network.
The 5Es Framework and 13th Five
Year Plan mandate that Pakistan shares a common vision desiring political
stability, governance frameworks, peace and security, policy and legislative
reforms, and human capital development. The successful implementation of the
5Es Framework will depend on activating six key enablers: ensuring political
stability, promoting peace and security, developing human capital, establishing
governance frameworks, and establishing policy and legislative reforms.
Sustainable development is built
on inclusivity. Let's unite to make our country bloom!
-On the eve of launch of Uraan Pakistan The homegrown Transformational Plan, Pakistan Post is issuing the Commemorative Postage Stamp of denomination Rs. 30/-on August 12th, 2025.
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